Arbeitspapier

Is the Relationship between Financial Development and Economic Growth Monotonic? Evidence from a Sample of Middle Income Countries

We revisit the relationship between financial development and economic growth in a panel of 52 middle income countries over the 1980-2008 period, using pooled mean group estimator in a dynamic heterogeneous panel setting. We show that financial development does not have a linear positive long-run impact on economic growth in this sample. When we consider a non-linear relationship between financial development and growth, we find an inverted U-shaped relationship between finance and growth in the long run. In the short-run, the relationship is insignificant. This finding suggests that middle income countries face a threshold point after which financial development no longer contributes to economic growth.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 4743

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Economic Development: Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
Subject
financial development
economic growth
heterogeneous panels
pooled mean group estimation
non-monotonicity

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Samargandi, Nahla
Fidrmuc, Jan
Ghosh, Sugata
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
20.09.2024, 8:21 AM CEST

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Samargandi, Nahla
  • Fidrmuc, Jan
  • Ghosh, Sugata
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2014

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