Arbeitspapier

Price setting and inflation persistence: did EMU matter?

Surprisingly it did not, or at least not directly. Using micro data on consumer prices and sectoral inflation rates from 6 euro area countries, spanning several years before and after the introduction of the euro, we look at whether EMU has altered the behaviour of retail price setting and/or inflation dynamics. We find no evidence that anything has changed around 1999 – if anything, persistence may have slightly increased. At the end of 2001 and in the beginning of 2002 (period surrounding the euro cash changeover) retail price adjustment frequencies, both up and down, increased substantially, while the magnitude of the price adjustment, also both up and down, was smaller than otherwise. However, both settled quickly back to the earlier patterns. On the contrary, we do find evidence of a decline in the persistence of the inflation process in the mid-1990s. This could be due to a structural change in private inflationary expectations due, at least in part, to policies linked to the preparation of EMU; however, this interpretation is weakened by the fact that a similar decline occurred also in the US.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 597

Classification
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Systems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System; Payment Systems
Monetary Policy
Subject
Aggregate and Sectoral Inflation
EMU
Inflation persistence
price setting
Eurozone
Inflation
Preisrigidität
Geldpolitik
Theorie
EU-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Angeloni, Ignazio
Aucremanne, Luc
Ciccarelli, Matteo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
20.09.2024, 8:22 AM CEST

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Angeloni, Ignazio
  • Aucremanne, Luc
  • Ciccarelli, Matteo
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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