Arbeitspapier

Bayesian semiparametric regression

We consider Bayesian estimation of restricted conditional moment models with linear regression as a particular example. The standard practice in the Bayesian literature for semiparametric models is to use flexible families of distributions for the errors and assume that the errors are independent from covariates. However, a model with flexible covariate dependent error distributions should be preferred for the following reasons: consistent estimation of the parameters of interest even if errors and covariates are dependent; possibly superior prediction intervals and more efficient estimation of the parameters under heteroscedasticity. To address these issues, we develop a Bayesian semiparametric model with flexible predictor dependent error densities and with mean restricted by a conditional moment condition. Sufficient conditions to achieve posterior consistency of the regression parameters and conditional error densities are provided. In experiments, the proposed method compares favorably with classical and alternative Bayesian estimation methods for the estimation of the regression coefficients.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Reihe Ökonomie / Economics Series ; No. 285

Classification
Wirtschaft
Bayesian Analysis: General
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Subject
Bayesian semiparametrics
Bayesian conditional density estimation
heteroscedastic linear regression
posterior consistency

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Pelenis, Justinas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS)
(where)
Vienna
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
20.09.2024, 8:22 AM CEST

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Pelenis, Justinas
  • Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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