Mitigating the macroeconomic impact of severe natural disasters in Africa: Policy synergies

Arbeitspapier

This study evaluates the economic impact of severe natural disasters in Africa using the generalized synthetic control method. In other words, it assesses how gross domestic product (GDP) would have been affected if severe natural disasters did not occur. Moreover, it explores the determinants of the destructiveness of the impact, focusing on the role played by capital. We find that severe natural disasters induce a significant and continuous reduction of GDP many years after the event. Indeed, economic losses caused by disasters depend on the level of capital (human capital, employment and capital stock) and aspects of governance quality (political stability and absence of violence). In other words, negative synergies are apparent because while capital stock, employment and human capital unconditionally reduce the macroeconomic impact of natural disasters, the corresponding conditional or interactive effects with political stability are also negative. Policy implications are discussed.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: AGDI Working Paper ; No. WP/21/094

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming ; Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements ; Economywide Country Studies: Africa
• Subject: natural disasters ; economic growth ; Africa

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Diop, Samba ; Asongu, Simplice ; Tchamyou, Vanessa
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): African Governance and Development Institute (AGDI)
• (where): Yaoundé
• (when): 2021

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/250118
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET