Artikel

Threshold effects of inflation on growth in the ASEAN-5 countries: A Panel Smooth Transition Regression approach

The relationship between inflation and economic growth is a contentious issue. The present study is undertaking to test hypothesis that the relationship between inflation and economic growth is nonlinear. This pane data study involves ASEAN-5 countries over the period 1980–2011. Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model is employed to estimate the threshold of inflation and its effects on economic growth. Furthermore, we also check robustness by using GMM-IV specification. The study finds that there exists a statistically significant negative relationship between inflation and growth for the inflation rates above the threshold level of 7.84%, above which inflation starts impeding economic growth in the ASEAN-5 countries. The results suggest that central banks in the ASEAN-5 countries could improve economic growth by reducing inflation when it is above or near the estimated thresholds. The threshold inflation level can be considered, therefore, as inflation targeting indicator to conduct monetary policy.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science ; ISSN: 2218-0648 ; Volume: 20 ; Year: 2015 ; Issue: 38 ; Pages: 41-48 ; Barcelona: Elsevier España

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Thema
Inflation
Growth
Threshold of inflation
PSTR
Inflación
Crecimiento
Umbral de la inflación
PSTR

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Thanh, Su Dinh
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Elsevier España
(wo)
Barcelona
(wann)
2015

DOI
doi:10.1016/j.jefas.2015.01.003
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:25 MESZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Thanh, Su Dinh
  • Elsevier España

Entstanden

  • 2015

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