Artikel
Threshold effects of inflation on growth in the ASEAN-5 countries: A Panel Smooth Transition Regression approach
The relationship between inflation and economic growth is a contentious issue. The present study is undertaking to test hypothesis that the relationship between inflation and economic growth is nonlinear. This pane data study involves ASEAN-5 countries over the period 1980–2011. Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model is employed to estimate the threshold of inflation and its effects on economic growth. Furthermore, we also check robustness by using GMM-IV specification. The study finds that there exists a statistically significant negative relationship between inflation and growth for the inflation rates above the threshold level of 7.84%, above which inflation starts impeding economic growth in the ASEAN-5 countries. The results suggest that central banks in the ASEAN-5 countries could improve economic growth by reducing inflation when it is above or near the estimated thresholds. The threshold inflation level can be considered, therefore, as inflation targeting indicator to conduct monetary policy.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Journal: Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science ; ISSN: 2218-0648 ; Volume: 20 ; Year: 2015 ; Issue: 38 ; Pages: 41-48 ; Barcelona: Elsevier España
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
- Thema
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Inflation
Growth
Threshold of inflation
PSTR
Inflación
Crecimiento
Umbral de la inflación
PSTR
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
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Thanh, Su Dinh
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Elsevier España
- (wo)
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Barcelona
- (wann)
-
2015
- DOI
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doi:10.1016/j.jefas.2015.01.003
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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20.09.2024, 08:25 MESZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Artikel
Beteiligte
- Thanh, Su Dinh
- Elsevier España
Entstanden
- 2015