Arbeitspapier

Domestic versus foreign drivers of trade (im)balances: How robust is evidence from estimated DSGE models

Estimated DSGE models tend to ascribe a significant and often predominant part of a country's trade balance (TB) dynamics to domestic drivers ("shocks"), suggesting foreign factors to be only of secondary importance. This paper revisits the result based on more agnostic approaches to shock transmission and using "agnostic structural disturbances". We estimate multi-region models for Germany and Spain as countries with very distinct TB patterns since 1999. Results suggest that domestic drivers remain dominant when theory-based restrictions on shock transmission are relaxed, although the transmission of foreign shocks is strengthened.

Sprache
Englisch
ISBN
978-92-76-19936-6

Erschienen in
Series: JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance ; No. 2020/5

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
International Finance: General
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions
Thema
Agnostic structural disturbances
open economy DSGE model
trade balance
Germany
Spain

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Cardani, Roberta
Hohberger, Stefan
Pfeiffer, Philipp Ludwig
Vogel, Lukas
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Publications Office of the European Union
(wo)
Luxembourg
(wann)
2020

DOI
doi:10.2760/117627
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Cardani, Roberta
  • Hohberger, Stefan
  • Pfeiffer, Philipp Ludwig
  • Vogel, Lukas
  • Publications Office of the European Union

Entstanden

  • 2020

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