Arbeitspapier

Taxing income or consumption: Macroeconomic and distributional effects for Italy

We study a set of tax reforms introducing a budget-neutral tax shift in Italy, from labour income to consumption taxes. To this end we use a microsimulation model to provide the output with which to estimate the parameters of tax functions in an overlapping-generations computable general equilibrium model. In doing so we make marginal and average tax rates bivariate non-linear functions of capital income and labour income. The methodology allows for the representation of the non-linearities of the tax and social benefit system and interactions between capital and labour incomes. The linked macro model then simulates labour supply, consumption and savings in a dynamic setting, thus accounting for behavioural and general equilibrium effects within a life-cycle optimization framework. Our simulations show that a tax shift made by cutting personal income tax rates might bring significant efficiency gains in Italy, with limited regressive effects, notwithstanding the revenue-compensating increase in consumptions taxes.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: JRC Working Papers on Taxation and Structural Reforms ; No. 13/2021

Classification
Wirtschaft
Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies; includes inheritance and gift taxes
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Household
Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Subject
computable general equilibrium
overlapping generations
taxation
microsimulation
Italy
tax shift

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
D'Andria, Diego
DeBacker, Jason
Evans, Richard W.
Pycroft, Jonathan
Zachlod-Jelec, Magdalena
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC)
(where)
Seville
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
20.09.2024, 8:22 AM CEST

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • D'Andria, Diego
  • DeBacker, Jason
  • Evans, Richard W.
  • Pycroft, Jonathan
  • Zachlod-Jelec, Magdalena
  • European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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