Arbeitspapier

Discount factor shocks and labor market dynamics

In this paper we investigate the labor market dynamics in a matching model where fluctuations are driven by movements in the discount factor. A comparison with the standard productivity shock is provided. Movements in the discount factor can be used as a proxy for variations in financial risks, especially the expected payoff from hiring workers. It is shown that the canonical matching model under a very standard calibration is able to generate an important volatility of unemployment and vacancies with respect to output. We estimate the structural model with the two shocks and using the Bayesian methodology. The bulk of variations in unemployment and vacancies is mainly explained by disturbances pertaining to the discount factor. Productivity shocks account for most of the historical output variations but the discount factor plays a more important role over the last two decades.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: SFB 649 Discussion Paper ; No. 2014-033

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Search and matching
discount factor shock
Bayesian estimation
unemployment volatility puzzle

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Albertini, Julien
Poirier, Arthur
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
20.09.2024, 8:22 AM CEST

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Albertini, Julien
  • Poirier, Arthur
  • Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk

Time of origin

  • 2014

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