The Effects of Foreign Aid on Refugee Flows

Arbeitspapier

This article analyzes whether foreign aid affects the net flows of refugees from recipient countries. Combining refugee data on 141 origin countries over the 1976-2013 period with bilateral Official Development Assistance data, we estimate the causal effects of a country’s aid receipts on both total refugee flows to the world and flows to donor countries. The interaction of donor-government fractionalization and a recipient country’s probability of receiving aid provides a powerful and excludable instrumental variable, when we control for country- and time-fixed effects that capture the levels of the interacted variables. Although our results suggest that aid induces recipient governments to encourage the return of their citizens, we find no evidence that aid reduces worldwide refugee outflows or flows to donor countries in the short term. However, we observe long-run effects after four three-year periods, which appear to be driven by lagged positive effects of aid on growth.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 6885

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; International Migration ; Foreign Aid ; International Relations and International Political Economy: Other ; Disaster Aid ; Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration ; International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
• Thema: foreign aid ; Official Development Assistance ; migration ; refugees ; displaced people ; humanitarian crises ; repatriation policies

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Dreher, Axel ; Fuchs, Andreas ; Langlotz, Sarah
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
• (wo): Munich
• (wann): 2018

Weitere Informationen

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/176904
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 20.09.2024, 08:21 MESZ