Climate Change Effects on Employment in the Nigeria’s Agricultural Sector

Artikel

Climate change poses mounting risks to agricultural development and rural livelihoods in Nigeria. This study investigates the impacts of climate change on agricultural sector employment in Nigeria. Agriculture provides income and sustenance for much of Nigeria’s rural population. However, smallholder rain-fed farming predominates, with minimal resilience to climate shifts. Historical data reveal rising temperatures and declining, erratic rainfall across Nigeria’s agro-ecological zones since the 1970s. Crop modeling predicts further climate changes will reduce yields of key staple crops. This threatens the viability of smallholder agriculture and risks widespread job losses. The study adopts a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) modeling approach to evaluate climate change effects on agricultural sector employment in Nigeria from 1990 to 2020. Findings reveal reduced rainfall initially raises employment, as farming requires more labor in dry conditions. However, protracted droughts significantly reduce agricultural jobs. Increased temperatures consistently lower farm employment through reduced yields and incomes. Based on these findings, the study recommends that adaptive strategies are urgently needed to build resilience, promote climate-smart agriculture, and safeguard rural livelihoods.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Journal: Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies ; ISSN: 2345-752X ; Volume: 11 ; Year: 2023 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 1-23 ; Singapore: World Scientific Pub Co Pte Ltd

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Landwirtschaft, Veterinärmedizin
• Thema: Climate change ; agricultural employment ; temperature ; rainfal

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Alehile, Kehinde Samuel
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): World Scientific Pub Co Pte Ltd
• (wo): Singapore
• (wann): 2023

Weitere Informationen

• DOI: doi:10.1142/S2345748123500185
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/280832
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 20.09.2024, 08:24 MESZ