Journal article | Zeitschriftenartikel

Against all odds? The red-green victory

"Picking Winners in electoral contests is a popular sport in Germany, as in many places elsewhere. During the 2002 campaign for the Bundestag, pre election polls tracked the horse race of party support almost daily. Election junkies were invited to enter online sweepstakes. They could also bet real money albeit in limited quantity, on the parties' fortunes on WAHL$TREET, a mock stock market run by DIE ZEIT an other media. As usual, election night witnessed the race of the networks to project the winner the second the polls where voters had cast their ballots closed. But in 2002, there was also one newcomer in the business of electoral prophecy: a statistical forecast based on insights from electoral research. (...)" (excerpt)

Against all odds? The red-green victory

Urheber*in: Norpoth, Helmut; Gschwend, Thomas

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Extent
Seite(n): 15-34
Language
Englisch
Notes
Status: Veröffentlichungsversion

Bibliographic citation
German Politics and Society, 21(1)

Subject
Politikwissenschaft
politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Bundesrepublik Deutschland
statistische Analyse
Prognose
Modell
Wahlverhalten
Wahlergebnis
Bundestagswahl
Wahlforschung
Dokumentation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Norpoth, Helmut
Gschwend, Thomas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(where)
Vereinigtes Königreich
(when)
2003

URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-258148
Rights
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
Last update
21.06.2024, 4:26 PM CEST

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Object type

  • Zeitschriftenartikel

Associated

  • Norpoth, Helmut
  • Gschwend, Thomas

Time of origin

  • 2003

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