Konferenzbeitrag
Monetary policy shocks, expectations and information rigidities
This paper contributes to the literature by assessing expectation effects from monetary policy for the G7 economies. We consider a sample period running from 1995M1 to 2016M6 based on a panel VAR framework, which accounts for international spillovers and time-variation. Relying on a broad set of expectation data from Consensus Economics, we start by analyzing whether monetary policy has changed the degree of information rigidity after the emergence of the subprime crisis. We proceed by estimating potential effects of interest rate changes on expectations, disagreements and forecast errors. We find strong evidence for information rigidities and identify higher forecast errors by professionals after monetary policy shocks. Our results suggest that the international transmission of monetary policy shocks introduces noisy information and partly increases disagreement among forecasters.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2018: Digitale Wirtschaft - Session: Monetary Policy II ; No. B16-V2
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
- Thema
-
Bayesian econometrics
expectations
information rigidity
monetary policy
panel VAR
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Czudaj, Robert
Beckmann, Joscha
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
- (wo)
-
Kiel, Hamburg
- (wann)
-
2018
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
20.09.2024, 08:22 MESZ
Datenpartner
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Konferenzbeitrag
Beteiligte
- Czudaj, Robert
- Beckmann, Joscha
- ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Entstanden
- 2018
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