Arbeitspapier

Do Survey Data Help Identify Supply and Demand Shocks in Sign-restricted SVARs?

Sign-restricted SVARs are typically characterized by high identification uncertainty. However, using external proxies can be helpful in this context. In this paper, I use business survey data to inform an SVAR of aggregate supply, demand and monetary policy shocks for the euro area. In the surveys, companies report input factors that limit their business activities. I show that sign-identified model sets are very heterogenous and produce shocks that are only weakly related to survey-based input shortage indicators. In contrast, combining sign restrictions with information from these shortage indicators narrows the set of admissible impulse response functions and affects policy-related conclusions drawn from the model.

Sprache
Englisch

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Proxy VARs
SVAR
sign restrictions

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Salzmann, Leonard
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
(wo)
Kiel, Hamburg
(wann)
2024

Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Salzmann, Leonard
  • ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics

Entstanden

  • 2024

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