Assessing U.S. aggregate fluctuations across time and frequencies

Arbeitspapier

We study the behavior of key macroeconomic variables in the time and frequency domain. For this purpose, we decompose U.S. time series into various frequency components. This allows us to identify a set of stylized facts: GDP growth is largely a high-frequency phenomenon whereby inflation and nominal interest rates are characterized largely by low-frequency components. In contrast, unemployment is a medium-term phenomenon. We use these decompositions jointly in a structural VAR where we identify monetary policy shocks using a sign restriction approach. We find that monetary policy shocks affect these key variables in a broadly similar manner across all frequency bands. Finally, we assess the ability of standard DSGE models to replicate these findings. While the models generally capture low-frequency movements via stochastic trends and business cycle fluctuations through various frictions they fail at capturing the medium-term cycle.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch
• ISBN: 978-952-323-263-1

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 5/2019

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models ; Model Construction and Estimation ; Business Fluctuations; Cycles

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Lubik, Thomas A. ; Matthes, Christian ; Verona, Fabio
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): Bank of Finland
• (wo): Helsinki
• (wann): 2019

Weitere Informationen

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/212439
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ