Artikel

Modeling real exchange rate persistence in Chile

The long and persistent swings in the real exchange rate have for a long time puzzled economists. Recent models built on imperfect knowledge economics seem to provide a theoretical explanation for this persistence. Empirical results, based on a cointegrated vector autoregressive (CVAR) model, provide evidence of error-increasing behavior in prices and interest rates, which is consistent with the persistence observed in the data. The movements in the real exchange rate are compensated by movements in the interest rate spread, which restores the equilibrium in the product market when the real exchange rate moves away from its long-run benchmark value. Fluctuations in the copper price also explain the deviations of the real exchange rate from its long-run equilibrium value.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Econometrics ; ISSN: 2225-1146 ; Volume: 5 ; Year: 2017 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 1-21 ; Basel: MDPI

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Foreign Exchange
Open Economy Macroeconomics
International Financial Markets
Thema
exchange rate
long swings
I(2) analysis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Salazar, Leonardo
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
MDPI
(wo)
Basel
(wann)
2017

DOI
doi:10.3390/econometrics5030029
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:23 MESZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Salazar, Leonardo
  • MDPI

Entstanden

  • 2017

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