Artikel

The effect of house price changes on cohort consumption in Turkey

This paper analyzes the relationship between house prices and household consumption in Turkey. We utilize twelve consecutive waves of the Turkish Statistical Institute (TURKSTAT) Household Budget Surveys (HBS) from 2003 to 2014. We construct a pseudo-panel data set using birth-year cohorts following Deaton (1985). We find that house price changes have a positive and significant effect on the growth of cohort consumption. Moreover, the effect of house price changes is stronger for home-owners and it intensifies as we move from young cohorts to old cohorts. We observe that there is a marginally significant and relatively weak relationship between the growth of cohort consumption and house price changes for tenants. However, our pooled sample set is restricted to young and middle-aged cohorts for tenants. In addition, we find that the rise of home-ownership ratio increases the growth of cohort consumption, while the spread of having outstanding housing debt depresses the growth of cohort consumption. Therefore, our empirical findings are in favor of the wealth channel argument.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Central Bank Review (CBR) ; ISSN: 1303-0701 ; Volume: 17 ; Year: 2017 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 99-110 ; Amsterdam: Elsevier

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Housing Demand
Thema
House prices
Cohort consumption
Birth-year cohorts
Pseudo-panel

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Ceritoglu, Evren
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Elsevier
(wo)
Amsterdam
(wann)
2017

DOI
doi:10.1016/j.cbrev.2017.06.001
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:22 MESZ

Datenpartner

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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Ceritoglu, Evren
  • Elsevier

Entstanden

  • 2017

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