Arbeitspapier

Endowments, fiscal federalism, and the cost of capital for states: Evidence from Brazil, 1891-1930

In this paper, we contribute to the discussion of what determines country risk by arguing that an important explanatory factor is the impact that commodities have on the capacity to pay. We use a newly created data base with state-level fiscal and risk premium data for Brazil states between 1891 and 1930 to show that Brazilian states with natural endowments that allowed them to export commodities that were in high demand ended up having higher revenues per capita and, thus, lower cost of capital. We also explain that the variation in revenues per capita across states was both a product of the variation in natural endowments and a commodity boom that had asymmetric effects among states. We end by running instrumental variable estimates using indices of export prices for each state to instrument for revenues per capita. Our IV estimates confirm our results that states with commodities that had higher price increases had lower risk premia.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Papers ; No. 2009-12

Classification
Wirtschaft
State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
State and Local Borrowing
Economic History: Financial Markets and Institutions: Latin America; Caribbean
Economic History: Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation: Latin America; Caribbean
Regional and Urban History: Latin America; Caribbean
Subject
state public debt
fiscal decentralization
endowments
public revenue

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Martínez, André
Musacchio, Aldo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Banco de México
(where)
Ciudad de México
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Martínez, André
  • Musacchio, Aldo
  • Banco de México

Time of origin

  • 2009

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