Arbeitspapier

A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France

Job insecurity can have wide-ranging consequences outside of the labour market. We here argue that it reduces fertility amongst the employed. The 1999 rise in the French Delalande tax, paid by large private firms when they laid off workers aged over 50, produced an exogenous rise in job insecurity for younger workers in these firms. A difference-in-differences analysis of French ECHP data reveals that this greater job insecurity for these under-50s significantly reduced their probability of having a new child by 3.9 percentage points. Reduced fertility is only found at the intensive margin: job insecurity reduces family size but not the probability of parenthood itself. Our results also suggest negative selection into parenthood, as this fertility effect does not appear for low-income and less-educated workers.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 13144

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Demographic Economics: Public Policy
Thema
employment protection
layoff tax
perceived job security
difference-in-differences
fertility

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Clark, Andrew E.
Lepinteur, Anthony
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2020

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:23 MESZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Clark, Andrew E.
  • Lepinteur, Anthony
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2020

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