Arbeitspapier

Drivers of consumer prices and exchange rates in small open economies

We study the fluctuations of exchange rates and consumer prices in two small open economies, Sweden and Canada, using a structural Bayesian VAR. Four domestic and two global shocks are identified through zero and sign restrictions. For both economies, we find that the main driver of consumer price inflation is the global demand shock. A negative global demand shock is not only deflationary for the small open economy, but also depreciates its currency. Hence, the observed exchange rate pass-through following this shock is of opposite sign to what is usually expected. Finally, exogenous shocks to the exchange rate are less important drivers of exchange rate movements than in many other structural models.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 387

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
Foreign Exchange
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Thema
Exchange rate pass-through
consumer prices
import prices
monetary policy
global shocks
SVAR

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Corbo, Vesna
Di Casola, Paola
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Sveriges Riksbank
(wo)
Stockholm
(wann)
2020

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
12.07.2024, 13:24 MESZ

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Corbo, Vesna
  • Di Casola, Paola
  • Sveriges Riksbank

Entstanden

  • 2020

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