Arbeitspapier
How successful are exchange rate communication and interventions? Evidence from time-series and event-study approaches
The paper analyses whether communication and actual interventions in FX markets are successful in moving exchange rates over the medium- to long-run. It compares empirical evidence based on time-series analysis with that obtained from an eventstudy approach. Both the time-series approach based on option contracts and the event-study methodology yield compelling evidence that communication and actual interventions tend to be successful in moving exchange rates in the desired direction contemporaneously as well as over the medium- to long term. This finding is consistent with recent work on microstructure models that emphasises the importance of dynamic effects of news and fundamentals on exchange rates.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 528
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Demand for Money
Monetary Policy
- Thema
-
communication
euro area
event-study methodology
exchange rate
intervention
Japan
policy
time-series analysis
United States
Wechselkurs
Wechselkurspolitik
Zeitreihenanalyse
EU-Staaten
Japan
USA
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Fratzscher, Marcel
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
European Central Bank (ECB)
- (wo)
-
Frankfurt a. M.
- (wann)
-
2005
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
20.09.2024, 08:22 MESZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Fratzscher, Marcel
- European Central Bank (ECB)
Entstanden
- 2005